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Red116
360319.6
277129.7
335732.7
Blue120
85831.9
7432.9
345820.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5850204080100120116120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#16
32.72.9
21.624.5
Auto0.3
Teleop32.4
End0.0
blue by 0.3
74
#8
32.93.3
18.822.1
Auto0.4
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Second
2771
#15
29.72.9
26.629.5
Auto0.6
Teleop29.1
End0.0
blue by 2.3
858
#21
31.95.6
18.624.2
Auto0.8
Teleop31.1
End0.0
Third
3603
#26
19.62.9
10.513.3
Auto0.5
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 1.1
3458
#33
20.73.3
15.719.1
Auto0.9
Teleop19.8
End0.0