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Red64
547320.5
516220.6
517318.4
Blue53
323433.2
14121.8
495624.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39640501001502006453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5162
#39
20.61.0
14.815.7
Auto0.2
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 12.5
3234
#18
33.20.5
28.828.3
Auto1.3
Teleop31.9
End0.0
Second
5473
#27
20.51.0
14.915.8
Auto1.7
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 4.2
4956
#24
24.60.5
22.121.7
Auto0.4
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Third
5173
#30
18.41.0
14.715.7
Auto0.1
Teleop18.3
End0.0
blue by 3.4
141
#28
21.80.5
11.310.9
Auto1.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0