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Red136
90433.6
400434.2
8553.3
Blue104
14121.8
357231.6
277129.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114540100150200136104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#7
53.31.4
47.248.5
Auto0.2
Teleop53.1
End0.0
red by 21.7
3572
#12
31.61.9
25.527.4
Auto1.6
Teleop30.1
End0.0
Second
4004
#20
34.21.4
29.831.2
Auto0.1
Teleop34.1
End0.0
red by 4.5
2771
#15
29.71.9
27.129.0
Auto0.6
Teleop29.1
End0.0
Third
904
#13
33.61.4
31.833.2
Auto0.9
Teleop32.6
End0.0
red by 11.8
141
#28
21.81.9
13.014.9
Auto1.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0