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Red50
544816.4
205452.5
24716.3
Blue48
525516.4
150229.4
360319.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions754902040601001201401605048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.51.2
45.544.3
Auto11.1
Teleop41.4
End0.0
red by 23.1
1502
#19
29.40.5
28.127.6
Auto0.7
Teleop28.7
End0.0
Second
5448
#36
16.41.2
16.315.1
Auto0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 3.2
3603
#26
19.60.3
13.012.7
Auto0.5
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Third
247
#40
16.31.9
12.310.4
Auto0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 0.1
5255
#25
16.40.3
13.813.5
Auto0.3
Teleop16.1
End0.0