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Red110
566421.2
85831.9
8553.3
Blue74
445320.0
544816.4
90433.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9552015020011074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#7
53.30.9
48.549.4
Auto0.2
Teleop53.1
End0.0
red by 19.7
904
#13
33.60.6
33.233.8
Auto0.9
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Second
858
#21
31.91.3
26.427.7
Auto0.8
Teleop31.1
End0.0
red by 11.9
4453
#23
20.00.6
12.813.4
Auto1.1
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Third
5664
#32
21.20.9
17.017.9
Auto0.4
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 4.8
5448
#36
16.40.6
15.115.8
Auto0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0