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Red98
213760.0
499514.5
517318.4
Blue115
10757.0
525516.4
400347.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7110205015020025098115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.01.0
53.954.9
Auto0.3
Teleop59.7
End0.0
red by 3.0
107
#5
57.00.7
46.046.7
Auto8.7
Teleop48.3
End0.0
Second
5173
#30
18.41.0
14.615.6
Auto0.1
Teleop18.3
End0.0
blue by 28.9
47.30.7
40.941.7
Auto12.4
Teleop34.9
End0.0
Third
4995
#35
14.51.4
9.711.1
Auto2.7
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 1.9
5255
#25
16.40.7
13.514.2
Auto0.3
Teleop16.1
End0.0