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Red102
547320.5
400434.2
22639.9
Blue116
7432.9
360319.6
547030.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8660050100150200102116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#9
39.91.2
34.035.2
Auto0.1
Teleop39.8
End0.0
red by 6.9
74
#8
32.92.5
25.127.5
Auto0.4
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Second
4004
#20
34.20.9
31.232.0
Auto0.1
Teleop34.1
End0.0
red by 3.7
5470
#17
30.42.5
29.031.4
Auto1.1
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Third
5473
#27
20.50.9
19.820.6
Auto1.7
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 0.9
3603
#26
19.62.5
12.715.1
Auto0.5
Teleop19.1
End0.0