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Red58
345820.7
499514.5
566421.2
Blue74
207534.4
517318.4
240530.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions468001001502005874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5664
#32
21.20.3
19.119.3
Auto0.4
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 13.2
2075
#10
34.40.2
35.735.6
Auto1.8
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Second
3458
#33
20.70.3
22.422.7
Auto0.9
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 9.6
2405
#14
30.40.2
26.125.9
Auto0.8
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Third
4995
#35
14.50.4
11.111.5
Auto2.7
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 3.9
5173
#30
18.40.2
15.615.4
Auto0.1
Teleop18.3
End0.0