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Red25
547030.4
555920.2
544816.4
Blue42
445320.0
495624.6
277129.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64642540505560652542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5470
#17
30.42.1
31.429.4
Auto1.1
Teleop29.4
End0.0
red by 0.7
2771
#15
29.71.2
28.727.5
Auto0.6
Teleop29.1
End0.0
Second
5559
#31
20.22.7
18.916.2
Auto0.8
Teleop19.4
End0.0
blue by 4.5
4956
#24
24.61.2
22.020.8
Auto0.4
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Third
5448
#36
16.42.1
15.813.7
Auto0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 3.6
4453
#23
20.01.2
15.314.1
Auto1.1
Teleop18.9
End0.0