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Red100
400434.2
516220.6
433717.2
Blue121
22639.9
171844.8
323433.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions501120100150200250100121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4004
#20
34.21.9
32.033.9
Auto0.1
Teleop34.1
End0.0
blue by 10.7
1718
#11
44.80.7
42.343.0
Auto2.4
Teleop42.4
End0.0
Second
5162
#39
20.61.9
17.519.4
Auto0.2
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 19.2
226
#9
39.91.0
35.236.2
Auto0.1
Teleop39.8
End0.0
Third
4337
#34
17.21.9
12.514.4
Auto1.6
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 16.0
3234
#18
33.20.7
29.229.9
Auto1.3
Teleop31.9
End0.0