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Red102
357231.6
213760.0
7432.9
Blue124
191855.1
8553.3
531624.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061180200300400500600102124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.5
54.954.4
Auto0.3
Teleop59.7
End0.0
red by 4.9
55.10.2
46.947.1
Auto-1.0
Teleop56.1
End0.0
Second
74
#8
32.90.5
27.527.0
Auto0.4
Teleop32.6
End0.0
blue by 20.4
85
#7
53.30.2
49.449.6
Auto0.2
Teleop53.1
End0.0
Third
3572
#12
31.60.5
29.629.1
Auto1.6
Teleop30.1
End0.0
red by 7.4
5316
#29
24.30.3
23.924.1
Auto0.7
Teleop23.6
End0.0