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Red88
499514.5
171844.8
456819.4
Blue62
547030.4
90433.6
24716.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74724060801001208862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#11
44.80.6
43.043.6
Auto2.4
Teleop42.4
End0.0
red by 11.2
904
#13
33.60.4
34.033.6
Auto0.9
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Second
4568
#38
19.40.8
20.921.7
Auto2.0
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 11.0
5470
#17
30.40.4
29.429.0
Auto1.1
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Third
4995
#35
14.50.8
11.512.3
Auto2.7
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 1.7
247
#40
16.30.5
13.012.5
Auto0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0