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Red60
547320.5
150229.4
566421.2
Blue135
499514.5
22639.9
191855.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6610205015020025060135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1502
#19
29.40.8
30.729.9
Auto0.7
Teleop28.7
End0.0
blue by 25.8
55.12.1
49.751.7
Auto-1.0
Teleop56.1
End0.0
Second
5664
#32
21.20.7
21.921.2
Auto0.4
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 18.6
226
#9
39.92.3
37.840.1
Auto0.1
Teleop39.8
End0.0
Third
5473
#27
20.50.7
21.220.5
Auto1.7
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 5.9
4995
#35
14.52.3
12.314.5
Auto2.7
Teleop11.8
End0.0