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Red124
7432.9
8553.3
531624.3
Blue89
171844.8
22639.9
277129.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102113020030040012489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#7
53.30.3
52.252.5
Auto0.2
Teleop53.1
End0.0
red by 8.5
1718
#11
44.80.4
45.144.6
Auto2.4
Teleop42.4
End0.0
Second
74
#8
32.90.3
31.832.1
Auto0.4
Teleop32.6
End0.0
blue by 6.9
226
#9
39.90.4
40.139.7
Auto0.1
Teleop39.8
End0.0
Third
5316
#29
24.30.3
23.223.4
Auto0.7
Teleop23.6
End0.0
blue by 5.4
2771
#15
29.70.4
30.029.5
Auto0.6
Teleop29.1
End0.0