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Red128
205452.5
400347.3
495624.6
Blue119
10757.0
496753.3
360319.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12212080100140160180128119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.50.1
52.452.5
Auto11.1
Teleop41.4
End0.0
blue by 4.5
107
#5
57.00.1
55.955.8
Auto8.7
Teleop48.3
End0.0
Second
47.30.1
47.247.3
Auto12.4
Teleop34.9
End0.0
blue by 6.0
53.30.1
52.252.1
Auto5.9
Teleop47.4
End0.0
Third
4956
#24
24.60.1
24.624.6
Auto0.4
Teleop24.3
End0.0
red by 5.1
3603
#26
19.60.1
18.518.3
Auto0.5
Teleop19.1
End0.0