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Red142
52551.1
313050.9
421523.0
Blue127
251236.3
517240.0
478621.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12285050100150200250142127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#2
51.10.5
49.750.2
Auto0.2
Teleop50.9
End0.0
red by 11.1
40.00.9
38.939.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop40.6
End0.0
Second
50.90.5
49.550.0
Auto0.3
Teleop50.6
End0.0
red by 14.6
36.30.9
35.236.0
Auto9.4
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Third
4215
#21
23.00.5
21.622.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.1
End0.0
red by 1.8
4786
#33
21.20.9
20.120.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop21.9
End0.0