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Red152
52551.1
313050.9
421523.0
Blue78
305524.5
523220.7
250219.0
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12447010015020025015278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#2
51.10.8
48.349.1
Auto0.2
Teleop50.9
End0.0
red by 26.7
3055
#13
24.50.4
23.323.7
Auto0.2
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Second
50.90.8
48.148.9
Auto0.3
Teleop50.6
End0.0
red by 30.2
5232
#12
20.70.4
19.620.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Third
4215
#21
23.00.8
20.221.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.1
End0.0
red by 4.0
2502
#36
19.00.4
17.918.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.3
End0.0