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Red102
251236.3
517240.0
478621.2
Blue50
42079.1
388325.1
465614.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions933805015020010250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.3
36.837.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop40.6
End0.0
red by 15.0
3883
#14
25.10.0
25.025.1
Auto0.4
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Second
36.30.3
33.133.4
Auto9.4
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 21.8
4656
#43
14.50.0
14.514.5
Auto0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
4786
#33
21.20.3
18.018.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop21.9
End0.0
red by 12.2
4207
#58
9.10.0
9.09.1
Auto0.1
Teleop9.0
End0.0