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Red36
87630.4
249112.9
467417.6
Blue33
216919.1
329711.5
563823.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403602060801001201401603633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#11
30.40.4
18.317.9
Auto0.6
Teleop29.9
End0.0
red by 6.8
23.715.5
23.78.1
Auto0.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Second
4674
#16
17.60.4
8.88.4
Auto0.4
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 1.5
2169
#30
19.10.4
19.719.3
Auto0.0
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Third
2491
#46
12.90.4
13.613.2
Auto0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 1.5
3297
#50
11.50.4
9.59.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0