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Red20
251810.6
25329.1
462331.9
Blue35
450610.4
375412.4
42079.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3427060801001201401602035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.91.2
11.310.2
Auto0.8
Teleop31.1
End0.0
red by 19.5
3754
#37
12.40.5
8.59.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Second
2518
#48
10.61.2
13.612.4
Auto0.8
Teleop9.9
End0.0
red by 0.2
4506
#40
10.40.5
10.010.5
Auto1.3
Teleop9.1
End0.0
Third
2532
#53
9.11.2
9.07.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0
red by 0.1
4207
#58
9.10.5
10.310.8
Auto0.1
Teleop9.0
End0.0