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Red47
421523.0
467417.6
250015.9
Blue100
257416.6
338112.4
462429.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4636020608010012014016047100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4215
#21
23.00.1
16.917.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.1
End0.0
blue by 6.9
29.95.1
19.324.4
Auto0.5
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Second
4674
#16
17.60.1
14.714.8
Auto0.4
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 1.0
2574
#31
16.65.1
12.617.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Third
2500
#22
15.90.1
14.314.4
Auto0.8
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 3.5
3381
#35
12.45.1
6.611.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.7
End0.0