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Red60
250122.1
563823.7
249112.9
Blue135
52551.1
474114.9
529021.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4456010015060135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.71.1
19.420.5
Auto0.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
blue by 27.4
525
#2
51.16.6
33.239.8
Auto0.2
Teleop50.9
End0.0
Second
2501
#10
22.11.1
15.616.7
Auto0.0
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 0.2
5290
#15
21.96.6
11.718.3
Auto0.0
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Third
2491
#46
12.91.1
12.113.2
Auto0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 2.0
4741
#23
14.96.6
11.317.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.2
End0.0