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Red0
326717.8
8778.2
416612.5
Blue44
462331.9
465710.9
517240.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3864050100150200044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3267
#19
17.82.6
16.914.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 22.3
40.00.5
26.826.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop40.6
End0.0
Second
4166
#39
12.52.6
16.213.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 19.4
31.90.5
25.424.9
Auto0.8
Teleop31.1
End0.0
Third
877
#57
8.22.6
10.07.4
Auto0.9
Teleop7.3
End0.0
blue by 2.7
4657
#41
10.90.5
9.79.2
Auto0.7
Teleop10.1
End0.0