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Red56
523220.7
418213.3
375019.7
Blue60
270524.0
534813.5
46714.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424002060801005660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5232
#12
20.71.6
14.015.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0
blue by 3.3
2705
#20
24.01.5
26.127.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Second
3750
#18
19.71.6
19.921.5
Auto0.7
Teleop19.0
End0.0
red by 6.2
5348
#38
13.51.5
10.211.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
Third
4182
#42
13.31.6
9.411.0
Auto0.7
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 8.6
4671
#56
4.71.5
5.97.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.9
End0.0