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Red5
247911.9
30549.4
305524.5
Blue45
514818.8
87630.4
25329.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32470100150545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3055
#13
24.52.0
20.818.7
Auto0.2
Teleop24.3
End0.0
blue by 6.0
876
#11
30.40.1
26.926.8
Auto0.6
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Second
2479
#47
11.92.0
9.97.8
Auto0.8
Teleop11.1
End0.0
blue by 6.9
5148
#17
18.80.1
11.911.8
Auto0.2
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Third
3054
#52
9.42.0
4.92.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.7
End0.0
red by 0.2
2532
#53
9.10.1
7.47.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0