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Red10
321211.8
36339.8
474114.9
Blue36
529021.9
251810.6
257416.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414601001501036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4741
#23
14.92.8
17.915.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.2
End0.0
blue by 6.9
5290
#15
21.90.9
18.317.3
Auto0.0
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Second
3212
#34
11.82.8
12.810.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 4.8
2574
#31
16.60.9
17.816.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Third
3633
#55
9.82.8
12.810.0
Auto1.0
Teleop8.9
End0.0
blue by 0.8
2518
#48
10.60.9
11.110.1
Auto0.8
Teleop9.9
End0.0