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Red49
572012.1
250917.8
392614.9
Blue71
448014.8
250015.9
249112.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273602060801001201404971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2509
#28
17.82.1
9.912.0
Auto0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 1.9
2500
#22
15.92.9
14.417.3
Auto0.8
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Second
3926
#45
14.92.1
10.512.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.0
End0.0
red by 0.1
4480
#32
14.82.9
8.311.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
5720
#44
12.12.1
9.211.3
Auto0.0
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 0.8
2491
#46
12.92.9
13.216.1
Auto0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0