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Red90
2734.0
250122.1
534813.5
Blue64
514818.8
467417.6
462331.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594902040801001201401609064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#9
34.02.6
32.935.5
Auto0.0
Teleop34.0
End0.0
red by 2.1
31.91.0
24.925.9
Auto0.8
Teleop31.1
End0.0
Second
2501
#10
22.12.6
14.617.2
Auto0.0
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 3.2
5148
#17
18.81.0
11.812.8
Auto0.2
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Third
5348
#38
13.52.6
11.714.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 4.1
4674
#16
17.61.0
15.616.6
Auto0.4
Teleop17.2
End0.0