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Red8
321211.8
375412.4
45316.7
Blue54
250219.0
250917.8
563823.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20560100150854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3754
#37
12.41.6
9.37.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 11.2
23.70.1
24.724.9
Auto0.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Second
3212
#34
11.81.6
10.08.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 7.2
2502
#36
19.00.1
15.916.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Third
4531
#60
6.71.6
7.35.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 11.1
2509
#28
17.80.1
12.012.1
Auto0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0