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Red50
372316.3
329816.3
251236.3
Blue30
25329.1
329711.5
478621.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50290204060801001201405030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.30.1
26.126.2
Auto9.4
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 15.1
4786
#33
21.20.3
16.716.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Second
3298
#24
16.30.1
12.913.0
Auto0.7
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 4.8
3297
#50
11.50.3
9.39.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
Third
3723
#26
16.30.1
9.59.7
Auto2.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0
red by 7.1
2532
#53
9.10.3
7.37.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0