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Red46
465614.5
546411.3
329816.3
Blue104
321211.8
305524.5
421523.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3044020608010012014046104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3298
#24
16.31.0
13.014.0
Auto0.7
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 8.2
3055
#13
24.54.7
18.623.3
Auto0.2
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Second
4656
#43
14.51.0
12.913.9
Auto0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 8.5
4215
#21
23.04.7
16.321.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Third
5464
#51
11.31.0
7.38.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.5
End0.0
blue by 0.6
3212
#34
11.84.7
8.413.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0