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Qual 812015 Northern Lights Regional
Red96
465710.9
313050.9
251810.6
Blue68
462429.9
87630.4
372316.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586801001502009668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#1
50.92.5
45.2→47.7
Auto0.3
Teleop50.6
End0.0
red by 20.4
876
#11
30.42.1
26.7→28.8
Auto0.6
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Second
4657
#41
10.92.5
8.4→10.9
Auto0.7
Teleop10.1
End0.0
blue by 19.0
4624
#6
29.92.1
28.2→30.3
Auto0.5
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Third
2518
#48
10.62.5
8.1→10.6
Auto0.8
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 5.6
3723
#26
16.32.1
14.2→16.3
Auto2.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0