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Red38
249112.9
46714.7
478621.2
Blue0
416612.5
36339.8
257416.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32440206080100120140380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4786
#33
21.20.2
17.818.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop21.9
End0.0
red by 4.6
2574
#31
16.61.4
18.617.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Second
2491
#46
12.90.2
12.712.9
Auto0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 0.4
4166
#39
12.51.4
13.912.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.8
End0.0
Third
4671
#56
4.70.2
4.54.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.9
End0.0
blue by 5.1
3633
#55
9.81.4
11.39.8
Auto1.0
Teleop8.9
End0.0