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Red81
514818.8
563823.7
448014.8
Blue98
251236.3
423818.2
28479.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50480204060801001201408198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.72.1
22.124.2
Auto0.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
blue by 12.6
36.33.4
29.733.1
Auto9.4
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Second
5148
#17
18.82.1
16.718.8
Auto0.2
Teleop18.6
End0.0
red by 0.6
4238
#25
18.23.4
14.718.2
Auto0.7
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Third
4480
#32
14.82.1
12.714.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 5.5
2847
#49
9.33.4
5.99.3
Auto0.8
Teleop8.5
End0.0