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Red116
250122.1
517240.0
326717.8
Blue74
284617.0
217522.8
329816.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6942010015020011674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.03.5
33.336.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop40.6
End0.0
red by 17.2
2175
#27
22.82.3
21.123.4
Auto0.7
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Second
2501
#10
22.13.5
19.523.0
Auto0.0
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 5.1
2846
#29
17.02.3
13.115.4
Auto0.4
Teleop16.5
End0.0
Third
3267
#19
17.83.5
14.217.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 1.5
3298
#24
16.32.3
14.016.3
Auto0.7
Teleop15.6
End0.0