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Red163
52551.1
313050.9
421523.0
Blue65
87630.4
485928.2
284617.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12559010015020025016365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#2
51.11.0
49.150.1
Auto0.2
Teleop50.9
End0.0
red by 20.7
876
#11
30.40.0
29.229.2
Auto0.6
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Second
50.91.0
48.949.9
Auto0.3
Teleop50.6
End0.0
red by 22.7
28.20.0
26.926.9
Auto1.0
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Third
4215
#21
23.01.0
21.022.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.1
End0.0
red by 6.0
2846
#29
17.00.0
15.715.7
Auto0.4
Teleop16.5
End0.0