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Red86
251236.3
517240.0
478621.2
Blue54
305524.5
523220.7
250219.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions915301502008654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.0
36.936.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop40.6
End0.0
red by 15.6
3055
#13
24.50.2
23.523.3
Auto0.2
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Second
36.30.0
33.133.1
Auto9.4
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 15.6
5232
#12
20.70.2
19.719.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Third
4786
#33
21.20.0
18.018.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop21.9
End0.0
red by 2.2
2502
#36
19.00.2
18.017.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.3
End0.0