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Red108
251236.3
517240.0
478621.2
Blue95
87630.4
485928.2
284617.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions926505015020010895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.4
37.938.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop40.6
End0.0
red by 9.6
876
#11
30.40.6
29.229.8
Auto0.6
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Second
36.30.4
34.234.6
Auto9.4
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 8.1
28.20.6
26.927.6
Auto1.0
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Third
4786
#33
21.20.4
19.119.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop21.9
End0.0
red by 4.2
2846
#29
17.00.6
15.716.4
Auto0.4
Teleop16.5
End0.0