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Red119
288334.0
205235.6
247219.5
Blue121
481811.0
252632.4
9328.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8862050100150200119121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.7
34.935.6
Auto1.1
Teleop34.5
End0.0
red by 3.2
32.41.2
31.232.4
Auto1.2
Teleop31.1
End0.0
Second
34.00.7
33.334.0
Auto1.1
Teleop32.9
End0.0
red by 5.2
93
#15
28.81.2
27.628.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Third
2472
#40
19.50.7
18.819.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 8.5
4818
#62
11.01.2
9.811.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.3
End0.0