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Red24
375114.7
327720.6
400921.7
Blue5
249913.9
42448.5
47625.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35330206080100120245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.71.0
11.810.8
Auto0.3
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 7.8
2499
#32
13.92.5
8.96.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.1
End0.0
Second
3277
#17
20.61.0
14.413.4
Auto1.0
Teleop19.6
End0.0
red by 12.1
4244
#45
8.52.5
11.69.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.6
End0.0
Third
3751
#31
14.71.0
9.88.8
Auto0.2
Teleop14.5
End0.0
red by 8.9
4762
#61
5.82.5
13.811.4
Auto0.3
Teleop5.5
End0.0