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Red20
55428.1
253120.1
423917.0
Blue14
30366.8
51436.6
554112.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312204060801001201401602014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2531
#12
20.10.9
11.911.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.1
End0.0
red by 7.4
5541
#35
12.70.8
6.96.0
Auto0.5
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Second
4239
#21
17.00.9
10.19.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.1
End0.0
red by 10.2
3036
#53
6.80.8
8.47.6
Auto0.4
Teleop6.4
End0.0
Third
5542
#50
8.10.5
8.17.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.2
End0.0
red by 1.5
5143
#52
6.60.8
8.88.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.6
End0.0