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Red51
423013.3
439718.5
250318.6
Blue45
17164.7
220222.0
38465.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2034060801001201405145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2503
#11
18.62.4
7.710.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 3.4
2202
#19
22.01.0
17.018.0
Auto0.5
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Second
4397
#10
18.52.4
7.810.2
Auto0.7
Teleop17.8
End0.0
red by 12.8
3846
#59
5.71.0
7.58.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.8
End0.0
Third
4230
#36
13.32.4
7.29.6
Auto0.2
Teleop13.1
End0.0
red by 8.6
1716
#58
4.71.0
8.99.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.8
End0.0