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Red28
181629.4
426010.7
500311.3
Blue23
481811.0
25389.6
375519.0
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382902060801001201401602823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.40.8
18.818.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 10.4
3755
#23
19.00.7
11.010.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Second
5003
#37
11.30.8
10.49.6
Auto0.5
Teleop10.9
End0.0
red by 0.3
4818
#62
11.00.7
8.98.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Third
4260
#41
10.70.8
8.47.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0
red by 1.1
2538
#54
9.60.7
11.410.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0