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Red56
405410.3
312214.6
30429.8
Blue78
453934.0
217710.5
310220.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2146060801001201401605678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3122
#26
14.62.5
9.011.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 19.3
34.02.8
16.319.2
Auto1.1
Teleop32.8
End0.0
Second
4054
#39
10.32.5
7.910.4
Auto0.4
Teleop10.0
End0.0
blue by 10.3
3102
#14
20.62.8
12.014.8
Auto1.2
Teleop19.4
End0.0
Third
3042
#56
9.82.5
8.811.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 0.8
2177
#43
10.52.8
15.718.6
Auto0.4
Teleop10.1
End0.0