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Red39
171418.1
423917.0
29778.0
Blue4
17164.7
249913.9
56908.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions401706080100120140394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1714
#47Sur
18.10.1
17.517.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.1
End0.0
red by 4.2
2499
#32
13.91.4
5.54.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.1
End0.0
Second
4239
#21
17.00.1
9.29.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.1
End0.0
red by 9.0
5690
#51
8.01.4
5.84.4
Auto1.1
Teleop6.9
End0.0
Third
2977
#48
8.00.1
10.710.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.1
End0.0
red by 3.3
1716
#58Sur
4.71.4
9.98.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.8
End0.0