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Red72
500311.3
252632.4
310220.6
Blue54
466412.9
565319.3
282317.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372902060801001207254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.42.9
15.118.0
Auto1.2
Teleop31.1
End0.0
red by 13.1
5653
#13
19.31.9
8.810.6
Auto0.1
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Second
3102
#14
20.62.9
14.417.3
Auto1.2
Teleop19.4
End0.0
red by 3.4
2823
#25
17.21.9
17.219.1
Auto0.9
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
5003
#37
11.32.9
7.710.6
Auto0.5
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 1.6
4664
#38
12.91.9
5.57.4
Auto0.0
Teleop12.9
End0.0