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Red15
384012.3
247219.5
249913.9
Blue6
554112.7
4217-1.4
30429.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2525010203040506070156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2472
#40
19.50.1
12.012.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 6.8
5541
#35
12.71.7
9.88.1
Auto0.5
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Second
2499
#32
13.90.1
4.14.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.1
End0.0
red by 4.1
3042
#56
9.81.7
13.311.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Third
3840
#30
12.30.1
9.59.6
Auto0.1
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 13.7
4217
#63
-1.41.7
3.11.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop-1.3
End0.0