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Red1
42448.5
469316.6
423013.3
Blue37
49867.4
327622.1
418114.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223406080100120140137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4693
#20
16.61.5
4.93.4
Auto0.4
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 5.5
22.10.3
16.917.3
Auto0.7
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Second
4230
#36
13.31.5
11.09.5
Auto0.2
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 1.3
4181
#33
14.60.3
10.110.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Third
4244
#45
8.51.5
9.17.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.6
End0.0
red by 1.2
4986
#55
7.40.3
6.16.5
Auto0.0
Teleop7.3
End0.0