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Red14
310220.6
481811.0
375114.7
Blue33
247219.5
52999.6
439718.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353802060801001201401601433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#14
20.61.9
17.315.4
Auto1.2
Teleop19.4
End0.0
red by 1.1
2472
#40
19.50.5
12.111.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.5
End0.0
Second
3751
#31
14.71.9
14.112.2
Auto0.2
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 3.8
4397
#10
18.50.5
15.415.0
Auto0.7
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Third
4818
#62
11.01.9
5.13.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.3
End0.0
red by 1.4
5299
#57
9.60.5
11.010.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.6
End0.0