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Red18
38465.7
181629.4
423013.3
Blue22
42448.5
466412.9
55428.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4418060801001201401601822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.42.0
26.124.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 16.5
4664
#38
12.90.1
7.47.3
Auto0.0
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Second
4230
#36
13.32.0
9.57.5
Auto0.2
Teleop13.1
End0.0
red by 4.7
4244
#45
8.50.1
7.67.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.6
End0.0
Third
3846
#59
5.72.0
6.34.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.8
End0.0
blue by 2.4
5542
#50
8.10.1
8.07.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.2
End0.0